Central Michigan vs Ball State 10/22/2011

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Central Michigan winning 49% of simulations, and Ball State 51% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Central Michigan commits fewer turnovers in 30% of simulations and they go on to win 68% when they take care of the ball. Ball State wins 65% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Ryan Radcliff is averaging 276 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (32% chance) then he helps his team win 72%. Jahwan Edwards is averaging 65 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (34% chance) then he helps his team win 63%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is BALL -2.5 --- Over/Under line is 55.5

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